2026 Week 3 · Conference game
Houston at Texas Tech
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Jones AT&T Stadium
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 27.6
- National rank
- 3
- Proj. wins
- 10.7
- Playoff prob.
- 98%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Houston
5%
Texas Tech
95%
Texas Tech 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 20.2
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 95%. Houston has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Texas Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Houston offense
21 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas Tech offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Jones AT&T Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No