2026 Week 3 FINAL · Conference game
Houston at Texas Tech
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Jones AT&T Stadium
26
Houston
Final
28
Texas Tech
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 |
| Texas Tech | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas Tech at 79%. Hit.
Recaps
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.8
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 18.5
- National rank
- 13
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 28%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Houston
21%
Texas Tech
79%
Texas Tech 90% CI: 72% – 85% Δ rating 7.7
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 79%. Houston has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Texas Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Jones AT&T Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No