4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 7

Notre Dame at BYU

Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

LaVell Edwards Stadium

Notre Dame
FBS Independents
Record
0-0
Rating
24.4
National rank
5
Proj. wins
10.1
Playoff prob.
94%
BYU
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
15.9
National rank
18
Proj. wins
8.0
Playoff prob.
17%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Notre Dame
67%
BYU
33%
BYU 90% CI: 25% – 42% Δ rating 8.5

Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 67%. BYU has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for BYU — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Notre Dame offense
34 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

BYU offense
28 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

← Home