2026 Week 6
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Mountain America Stadium
Hawai'i
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Arizona State
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.3
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Hawai'i
12%
Arizona State
88%
Arizona State 90% CI: 84% – 92% Δ rating 12.4
Arizona State is the model's favorite at 88%. Hawai'i has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Arizona State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Hawai'i offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arizona State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
89°F
Precipitation
6%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Mountain America Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No