2026 Week 5
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Memorial Stadium
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -16.0
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Kansas
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.1
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Middle Tennessee
5%
Kansas
95%
Kansas 90% CI: 93% – 97% Δ rating 20.1
Kansas is the model's favorite at 95%. Middle Tennessee has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Kansas — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Middle Tennessee offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kansas offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No