2026 Week 5
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Memorial Stadium
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -18.9
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Kansas
Big 12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- 3.0
- National rank
- 64
- Proj. wins
- 3.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Middle Tennessee
4%
Kansas
96%
Kansas 90% CI: 94% – 97% Δ rating 21.9
Kansas is the model's favorite at 96%. Middle Tennessee has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Kansas — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Middle Tennessee offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kansas offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
86°F
Precipitation
17%
Wind
8 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No