2026 Week 4
Sam Houston at Texas Tech
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Jones AT&T Stadium
Sam Houston
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -27.8
- National rank
- 135
- Proj. wins
- 0.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 27.6
- National rank
- 3
- Proj. wins
- 10.7
- Playoff prob.
- 98%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Sam Houston
0%
Texas Tech
100%
Texas Tech 90% CI: 100% – 100% Δ rating 55.4
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 100%. Sam Houston has a 0% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Texas Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sam Houston offense
26 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas Tech offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Jones AT&T Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No