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2026 Week 3 · Neutral site

Virginia at West Virginia

Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Bank of America Stadium

Virginia
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
11.1
National rank
31
Proj. wins
8.5
Playoff prob.
9%
West Virginia
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
-6.8
National rank
93
Proj. wins
4.0
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Virginia
90%
West Virginia
10%
West Virginia 90% CI: 7% – 13% Δ rating 17.9

Virginia is the model's favorite at 90%. West Virginia has a 10% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Virginia offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

West Virginia offense
31 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Bank of America Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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