2026 Week 3
Utah State at Utah
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Utah State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.1
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Utah
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 22.2
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 9.4
- Playoff prob.
- 74%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Utah State
3%
Utah
97%
Utah 90% CI: 96% – 98% Δ rating 25.3
Utah is the model's favorite at 97%. Utah State has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.5 rating points baked in for Utah — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Utah State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Utah offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Rice-Eccles Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No