Georgia State at UCF
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Georgia State | 7 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 30 |
 UCF Winner | 17 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 44 |
GIE pre-game call: UCF at 81%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Georgia State 19% Underdog
UCF 81% Favorite
UCF is the model's favorite at 81%. Georgia State has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for UCF — venue-specific night-game value (n=55 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.