2026 Week 3 FINAL
Georgia State at UCF
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
FBC Mortgage Stadium
30
Georgia State
Final
44
UCF
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | 7 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 30 |
| UCF | 17 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 44 |
GIE pre-game call: UCF at 98%. Hit.
Recaps
Georgia State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -19.6
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UCF
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.5
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Georgia State
2%
UCF
98%
UCF 90% CI: 97% – 99% Δ rating 25.1
UCF is the model's favorite at 98%. Georgia State has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.5 rating points baked in for UCF — venue-specific night-game value (n=56 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- FBC Mortgage Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No