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2026 Week 3

Colorado at Northwestern

Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium

Colorado
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
-8.3
National rank
96
Proj. wins
3.3
Playoff prob.
0%
Northwestern
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
5.8
National rank
51
Proj. wins
5.2
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Colorado
12%
Northwestern
88%
Northwestern 90% CI: 84% – 91% Δ rating 14.1

Northwestern is the model's favorite at 88%. Colorado has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for Northwestern — venue-specific learned value (n=4 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Colorado offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Northwestern offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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