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2026 Week 3

Tulane at Kansas State

Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Tulane
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
6.3
National rank
45
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
1%
Kansas State
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
7.0
National rank
42
Proj. wins
7.0
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Tulane
36%
Kansas State
64%
Kansas State 90% CI: 55% – 72% Δ rating 0.7

Kansas State is the model's favorite at 64%. Tulane has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Kansas State — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Tulane offense
34 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Kansas State offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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