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2026 Week 2

Oregon at Oklahoma State

Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Boone Pickens Stadium

Oregon
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
25.9
National rank
4
Proj. wins
9.3
Playoff prob.
92%
Oklahoma State
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
-15.1
National rank
121
Proj. wins
2.5
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Oregon
99%
Oklahoma State
1%
Oklahoma State 90% CI: 0% – 1% Δ rating 41.0

Oregon is the model's favorite at 99%. Oklahoma State has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Oklahoma State — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Oregon offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Oklahoma State offense
29 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Boone Pickens Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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