2026 Week 1 FINAL
Oregon State at Houston
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
TDECU Stadium
20
Oregon State
Final
33
Houston
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State | 7 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 20 |
| Houston | 9 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33 |
GIE pre-game call: Houston at 89%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -2.5
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.8
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon State
11%
Houston
89%
Houston 90% CI: 85% – 92% Δ rating 13.3
Houston is the model's favorite at 89%. Oregon State has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- TDECU Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No