2026 Week 1
Oregon State at Houston
Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
TDECU Stadium
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.9
- National rank
- 126
- Proj. wins
- 2.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon State
3%
Houston
97%
Houston 90% CI: 95% – 98% Δ rating 23.3
Houston is the model's favorite at 97%. Oregon State has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Houston offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- TDECU Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No