2026 Week 1
Oklahoma State at Tulsa
Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Chapman Stadium
Oklahoma State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.1
- National rank
- 121
- Proj. wins
- 2.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.0
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oklahoma State
36%
Tulsa
64%
Tulsa 90% CI: 55% – 72% Δ rating 5.1
Tulsa is the model's favorite at 64%. Oklahoma State has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.5 rating points baked in for Tulsa — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tulsa offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Chapman Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No