2026 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
North Carolina at TCU
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Aviva Stadium
15
North Carolina
Final
10
TCU
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| TCU | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
GIE pre-game call: TCU at 70%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
North Carolina
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 4.5
- National rank
- 59
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 11.2
- National rank
- 32
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Carolina
30%
TCU
70%
TCU 90% CI: 61% – 77% Δ rating 6.7
TCU is the model's favorite at 70%. North Carolina has a 30% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Aviva Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes