2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Alabama at LSU
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Alabama
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 19.5
- National rank
- 11
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 54%
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 20.3
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Alabama
38%
LSU
62%
LSU 90% CI: 53% – 70% Δ rating 0.8
LSU is the model's favorite at 62%. Alabama has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Alabama offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
LSU offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Tiger Stadium (LA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No