2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Alabama at LSU
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Alabama
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 14.8
- National rank
- 20
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 10.3
- National rank
- 32
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Alabama
55%
LSU
45%
LSU 90% CI: 36% – 55% Δ rating 4.5
Alabama is the model's favorite at 55%. LSU has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Alabama offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
LSU offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Tiger Stadium (LA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No