2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Oklahoma at Florida
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Oklahoma
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 18.3
- National rank
- 14
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 27%
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.5
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oklahoma
81%
Florida
19%
Florida 90% CI: 14% – 26% Δ rating 14.8
Oklahoma is the model's favorite at 81%. Florida has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No