2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Oklahoma at Florida
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Oklahoma
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 17.6
- National rank
- 16
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.8
- National rank
- 15
- Proj. wins
- 8.3
- Playoff prob.
- 46%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oklahoma
39%
Florida
61%
Florida 90% CI: 52% – 70% Δ rating 0.2
Florida is the model's favorite at 61%. Oklahoma has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No