2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Missouri at Arkansas
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Razorback Stadium
Missouri
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 14.4
- National rank
- 21
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 7%
Arkansas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Missouri
80%
Arkansas
20%
Arkansas 90% CI: 15% – 27% Δ rating 9.3
Missouri is the model's favorite at 80%. Arkansas has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.7 rating points baked in for Arkansas — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Missouri offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arkansas offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Razorback Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No