2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Davis Wade Stadium
Oklahoma
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 17.6
- National rank
- 16
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.0
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 51%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oklahoma
59%
Mississippi State
41%
Mississippi State 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 5.6
Oklahoma is the model's favorite at 59%. Mississippi State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for Mississippi State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Mississippi State offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Davis Wade Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No