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2026 Week 8 · Conference game

Vanderbilt at Kentucky

Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Kroger Field

Vanderbilt
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
9.7
National rank
39
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
15%
Kentucky
SEC
Record
2-1
Rating
6.5
National rank
49
Proj. wins
5.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Vanderbilt
51%
Kentucky
49%
Kentucky 90% CI: 40% – 59% Δ rating 3.2

Vanderbilt is the model's favorite at 51%. Kentucky has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Vanderbilt offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Kentucky offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Kroger Field
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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