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2026 Week 8 · Conference game

Vanderbilt at Kentucky

Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Kroger Field

Vanderbilt
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
20.3
National rank
11
Proj. wins
8.4
Playoff prob.
52%
Kentucky
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
1.8
National rank
66
Proj. wins
4.5
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Vanderbilt
87%
Kentucky
13%
Kentucky 90% CI: 9% – 17% Δ rating 18.5

Vanderbilt is the model's favorite at 87%. Kentucky has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Vanderbilt offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Kentucky offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Kroger Field
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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