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2026 Week 8 · Conference game

Texas A&M at Alabama

Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Bryant-Denny Stadium

Texas A&M
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
20.7
National rank
9
Proj. wins
8.5
Playoff prob.
55%
Alabama
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
14.8
National rank
20
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
10%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Texas A&M
48%
Alabama
52%
Alabama 90% CI: 43% – 61% Δ rating 5.9

Alabama is the model's favorite at 52%. Texas A&M has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.5 rating points baked in for Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Texas A&M offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Alabama offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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