2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Florida at Texas
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.5
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 16.2
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 15%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida
11%
Texas
89%
Texas 90% CI: 84% – 92% Δ rating 12.7
Texas is the model's favorite at 89%. Florida has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No