2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Mississippi State at LSU
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.0
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 51%
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 20.3
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Mississippi State
20%
LSU
80%
LSU 90% CI: 74% – 86% Δ rating 8.3
LSU is the model's favorite at 80%. Mississippi State has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Mississippi State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
LSU offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Tiger Stadium (LA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No