2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Mississippi State at LSU
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.1
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 10.3
- National rank
- 32
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Mississippi State
24%
LSU
76%
LSU 90% CI: 69% – 82% Δ rating 6.2
LSU is the model's favorite at 76%. Mississippi State has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Mississippi State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
LSU offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Tiger Stadium (LA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No