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2026 Week 6 · Conference game · Neutral site

Texas at Oklahoma

Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

Cotton Bowl

Texas
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
24.1
National rank
6
Proj. wins
7.9
Playoff prob.
26%
Oklahoma
SEC
Record
2-1
Rating
17.6
National rank
16
Proj. wins
5.9
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Texas
69%
Oklahoma
31%
Oklahoma 90% CI: 23% – 39% Δ rating 6.5

Texas is the model's favorite at 69%. Oklahoma has a 31% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Texas offense
30 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Oklahoma offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Venue
Cotton Bowl
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
Yes
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