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2026 Week 6 · Conference game · Neutral site

Texas at Oklahoma

Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Cotton Bowl

Texas
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
16.2
National rank
17
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
15%
Oklahoma
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
18.3
National rank
14
Proj. wins
7.6
Playoff prob.
27%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Texas
43%
Oklahoma
57%
Oklahoma 90% CI: 47% – 65% Δ rating 2.1

Oklahoma is the model's favorite at 57%. Texas has a 43% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Texas offense
30 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Oklahoma offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Cotton Bowl
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
Yes

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