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2026 Week 6 · Conference game

South Carolina at Florida

Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

South Carolina
SEC
Record
2-1
Rating
13.0
National rank
26
Proj. wins
5.7
Playoff prob.
0%
Florida
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
17.8
National rank
15
Proj. wins
8.3
Playoff prob.
46%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

South Carolina
26%
Florida
74%
Florida 90% CI: 66% – 80% Δ rating 4.8

Florida is the model's favorite at 74%. South Carolina has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

South Carolina offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Florida offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
63°F
Precipitation
14%
Wind
9 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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