2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Georgia at Alabama
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Georgia
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 28.2
- National rank
- 2
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 56%
Alabama
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 19.5
- National rank
- 11
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 54%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Georgia
57%
Alabama
43%
Alabama 90% CI: 34% – 53% Δ rating 8.7
Georgia is the model's favorite at 57%. Alabama has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.5 rating points baked in for Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Georgia offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Alabama offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
48°F
Precipitation
8%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Bryant-Denny Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No