2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Kyle Field
Arkansas
SEC
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -0.3
- National rank
- 70
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas A&M
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 18.3
- National rank
- 14
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arkansas
8%
Texas A&M
92%
Texas A&M 90% CI: 89% – 94% Δ rating 18.6
Texas A&M is the model's favorite at 92%. Arkansas has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Texas A&M — venue-specific night-game value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arkansas offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas A&M offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
81°F
Precipitation
16%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Kyle Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No