2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Kyle Field
Arkansas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas A&M
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.7
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 55%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arkansas
10%
Texas A&M
90%
Texas A&M 90% CI: 86% – 93% Δ rating 15.6
Texas A&M is the model's favorite at 90%. Arkansas has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Texas A&M — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arkansas offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas A&M offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Kyle Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No