2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Kentucky at South Carolina
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 8:15 PM UTC
Williams-Brice Stadium
Kentucky
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 6.5
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
South Carolina
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 13.0
- National rank
- 26
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Kentucky
26%
South Carolina
74%
South Carolina 90% CI: 66% – 81% Δ rating 6.5
South Carolina is the model's favorite at 74%. Kentucky has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for South Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kentucky offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
South Carolina offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Light drizzle
Temperature
78°F
Precipitation
31%
Wind
8 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 8:15 PM UTC
- Venue
- Williams-Brice Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No