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2026 Week 5 · Conference game

Vanderbilt at Georgia

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Sanford Stadium

Vanderbilt
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
9.7
National rank
39
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
15%
Georgia
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
28.2
National rank
2
Proj. wins
8.6
Playoff prob.
56%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Vanderbilt
9%
Georgia
91%
Georgia 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 18.5

Georgia is the model's favorite at 91%. Vanderbilt has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Georgia — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Vanderbilt offense
30 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Georgia offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
73°F
Precipitation
21%
Wind
3 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Sanford Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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