2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Oklahoma at Georgia
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Sanford Stadium
Oklahoma
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 17.6
- National rank
- 16
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Georgia
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 28.2
- National rank
- 2
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 56%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oklahoma
20%
Georgia
80%
Georgia 90% CI: 73% – 85% Δ rating 10.6
Georgia is the model's favorite at 80%. Oklahoma has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Georgia — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Georgia offense
27 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
78°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
6 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Sanford Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No