2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Ole Miss at Florida
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Ole Miss
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 24.0
- National rank
- 7
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 80%
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.5
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ole Miss
89%
Florida
11%
Florida 90% CI: 8% – 15% Δ rating 20.5
Ole Miss is the model's favorite at 89%. Florida has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ole Miss offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No