2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Ole Miss at Florida
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Ole Miss
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 15.6
- National rank
- 20
- Proj. wins
- 7.7
- Playoff prob.
- 16%
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.8
- National rank
- 15
- Proj. wins
- 8.3
- Playoff prob.
- 46%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ole Miss
33%
Florida
67%
Florida 90% CI: 58% – 75% Δ rating 2.2
Florida is the model's favorite at 67%. Ole Miss has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ole Miss offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
76°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No