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2026 Week 4 · Conference game

Vanderbilt at Auburn

Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 8:15 PM UTC

Jordan-Hare Stadium

Vanderbilt
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
9.7
National rank
39
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
15%
Auburn
SEC
Record
2-1
Rating
11.6
National rank
31
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Vanderbilt
34%
Auburn
66%
Auburn 90% CI: 57% – 74% Δ rating 1.9

Auburn is the model's favorite at 66%. Vanderbilt has a 34% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Auburn — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Vanderbilt offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Auburn offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
75°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
5 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 8:15 PM UTC
Venue
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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