2026 Week 4
Tulsa at Arkansas
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Razorback Stadium
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.0
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Arkansas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tulsa
16%
Arkansas
84%
Arkansas 90% CI: 78% – 89% Δ rating 15.1
Arkansas is the model's favorite at 84%. Tulsa has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.7 rating points baked in for Arkansas — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tulsa offense
46 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arkansas offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Razorback Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No