2026 Week 4 · Conference game
South Carolina at Alabama
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Bryant-Denny Stadium
South Carolina
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 13.0
- National rank
- 26
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Alabama
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 19.5
- National rank
- 11
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 54%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Carolina
14%
Alabama
86%
Alabama 90% CI: 80% – 90% Δ rating 6.5
Alabama is the model's favorite at 86%. South Carolina has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +7.8 rating points baked in for Alabama — venue-specific night-game value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Carolina offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Alabama offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
73°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Bryant-Denny Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No