2026 Week 4 · Conference game
South Carolina at Alabama
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Bryant-Denny Stadium
South Carolina
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.9
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Alabama
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 14.8
- National rank
- 20
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Carolina
13%
Alabama
87%
Alabama 90% CI: 82% – 91% Δ rating 8.9
Alabama is the model's favorite at 87%. South Carolina has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.5 rating points baked in for Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Carolina offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Alabama offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Bryant-Denny Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No