2026 Week 3 FINAL · Conference game
Mississippi State at South Carolina
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 8:15 PM UTC
Williams-Brice Stadium
41
Mississippi State
Final
34
South Carolina
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 0 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 41 |
| South Carolina | 13 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: South Carolina at 59%. Miss.
Recaps
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.0
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 51%
South Carolina
SEC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 13.0
- National rank
- 26
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Mississippi State
41%
South Carolina
59%
South Carolina 90% CI: 50% – 68% Δ rating 1.0
South Carolina is the model's favorite at 59%. Mississippi State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for South Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 8:15 PM UTC
- Venue
- Williams-Brice Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No