2026 Week 3 FINAL
Troy at Missouri
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Memorial Stadium
17
Troy
Final
27
Missouri
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Missouri | 0 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 27 |
GIE pre-game call: Missouri at 95%. Hit.
Recaps
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -6.2
- National rank
- 93
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Missouri
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 15.0
- National rank
- 22
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 52%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Troy
5%
Missouri
95%
Missouri 90% CI: 93% – 97% Δ rating 21.2
Missouri is the model's favorite at 95%. Troy has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Missouri — venue-specific night-game value (n=60 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No