2026 Week 3 · Conference game
Florida at Auburn
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.5
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Auburn
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.6
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida
19%
Auburn
81%
Auburn 90% CI: 74% – 86% Δ rating 8.1
Auburn is the model's favorite at 81%. Florida has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Auburn — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Auburn offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Jordan-Hare Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No