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2026 Week 3 FINAL · Conference game

Florida at Auburn

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Jordan-Hare Stadium

44
Florida
Final
39
Auburn
Team 1234 T
Florida 7131410 44
Auburn 314715 39

GIE pre-game call: Florida at 51%. Hit.

Recaps

Florida
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
17.8
National rank
15
Proj. wins
8.3
Playoff prob.
46%
Auburn
SEC
Record
2-1
Rating
11.6
National rank
31
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Florida
51%
Auburn
49%
Auburn 90% CI: 40% – 58% Δ rating 6.2

Florida is the model's favorite at 51%. Auburn has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.9 rating points baked in for Auburn — venue-specific night-game value (n=62 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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