2026 Week 3 FINAL
Florida State at Alabama
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Bryant-Denny Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State | 14 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 36 |
| Alabama | 3 | 23 | 14 | 10 | 50 |
GIE pre-game call: Alabama at 93%. Hit.
Recaps
- Florida State recap
Florida State: 2026 Week 3 recap
Florida State sits at No. 35 overall with a 1–0 record after dispatching New Mexico State 34–17 in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged—it remains 9.1. The Seminoles' red-zone efficiency tells a cautionary tale: they converted…
- Alabama recap
Alabama: 2026 Week 3 recap
Alabama sits at No. 13 after a dominant 48–10 win over East Carolina in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged from 17.6—a sign the model saw the result as expected rather than revelatory. The Crimson Tide's red-zone efficiency tells a…
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- 5.5
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 19.5
- National rank
- 11
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 54%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Alabama is the model's favorite at 93%. Florida State has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.5 rating points baked in for Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Bryant-Denny Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No