2026 Week 2
Ohio State at Texas
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Ohio State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 30.1
- National rank
- 2
- Proj. wins
- 9.1
- Playoff prob.
- 99%
Texas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 16.2
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 15%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ohio State
78%
Texas
22%
Texas 90% CI: 16% – 29% Δ rating 13.9
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 78%. Texas has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ohio State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas offense
26 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No