4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 2

Mississippi State at Minnesota

Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Huntington Bank Stadium

Mississippi State
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
4.1
National rank
58
Proj. wins
4.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Minnesota
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
1.5
National rank
70
Proj. wins
5.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Mississippi State
55%
Minnesota
45%
Minnesota 90% CI: 36% – 54% Δ rating 2.6

Mississippi State is the model's favorite at 55%. Minnesota has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Minnesota — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Mississippi State offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Minnesota offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Huntington Bank Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

← Home