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Texas State at Texas

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
Texas State 0700 7
Texas Winner 14142110 59

GIE pre-game call: Texas at 94%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

Texas State 6% Underdog
Texas 94% Favorite
Texas 90% CI
91–96%
Δ rating
Texas +17.7

Texas is the model's favorite at 94%. Texas State has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.0 rating points baked in for Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.