2026 Week 1 FINAL
Texas State at Texas
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
7
Texas State
Final
59
Texas
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Texas | 14 | 14 | 21 | 10 | 59 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas at 99%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.9
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas
SEC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 24.1
- National rank
- 6
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 26%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas State
1%
Texas
99%
Texas 90% CI: 98% – 99% Δ rating 30.0
Texas is the model's favorite at 99%. Texas State has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No