Florida Atlantic at Florida
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:45 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida Atlantic | 0 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
 Florida Winner | 17 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 66 |
GIE pre-game call: Florida at 77%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Florida Atlantic 23% Underdog
Florida 77% Favorite
Florida is the model's favorite at 77%. Florida Atlantic has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.3 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific night-game value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Florida Atlantic recap Florida Atlantic: 2026 Week 12 recap Florida Atlantic sits at 6–3 and has climbed to rank 77 after a decisive 60–29 win over UTSA last week, a performance that lifted the team's rating by 2.1 points. The Owls remain in the playoff hunt mathematically, though GIE gives them a…
- Florida recap Florida: 2026 Week 12 recap Florida's rating has cratered 4.7 points to 5.9 this season, dropping them to 47th overall, and last week's 23-7 home loss to Oklahoma explains why. The Gators are stuck at 5-4 with a red-zone TD rate of just 18%, which means they're…