2026 Week 1 · Neutral site
Baylor at Auburn
Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.4
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Auburn
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.6
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Baylor
22%
Auburn
78%
Auburn 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 10.2
Auburn is the model's favorite at 78%. Baylor has a 22% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Baylor offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Auburn offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 4, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes