2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
Missouri State at Arkansas State
Friday, December 19, 2025 · 2:00 AM UTC
Ford Center At The Star
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 28 |
| Arkansas State | 14 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: Arkansas State at 56%. Hit.
Recaps
- Missouri State recap
Missouri State: 2025 Week 16 recap
Missouri State sits at 7–6 after dropping a 42–30 home decision to Louisiana Tech in Week 14. The Bears rank 108th per GIE with a rating of –10.7, a position that reflects inconsistency across a season spent competing in Conference USA's…
- Arkansas State recap
Arkansas State: 2025 Week 16 recap
Arkansas State sits at 7–6 after a 30–29 road win over App State in Week 14—a tight result that underscores the Red Wolves' competitive standing in the Sun Belt middle class. GIE rates them at –8.8, ranking them 100th nationally, a…
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -10.7
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 56%. Missouri State has a 44% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, December 19, 2025 · 2:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ford Center At The Star
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes