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2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site

Arizona at SMU

Friday, January 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST

Snapdragon Stadium

19
Arizona
Final
24
SMU
Team 1234 T
Arizona 00613 19
SMU 141000 24

GIE pre-game call: SMU at 54%. Hit.

Recaps

Arizona
Big 12
Record
9-4
Rating
12.0
National rank
28
Proj. wins
7.1
Playoff prob.
3%
SMU
ACC
Record
9-4
Rating
13.4
National rank
23
Proj. wins
8.5
Playoff prob.
12%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Arizona
46%
SMU
54%
SMU 90% CI: 45% – 63% Δ rating 1.4

SMU is the model's favorite at 54%. Arizona has a 46% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, January 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Venue
Snapdragon Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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