4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2025 Week 1 FINAL

Alabama at Oklahoma

Friday, December 19, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST

Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

34
Alabama
Final
24
Oklahoma
Team 1234 T
Alabama 017107 34
Oklahoma 10707 24

GIE pre-game call: Oklahoma at 70%. Miss.

Recaps

Alabama
SEC
Record
11-4
Rating
14.8
National rank
20
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
10%
Oklahoma
SEC
Record
10-3
Rating
18.3
National rank
14
Proj. wins
7.6
Playoff prob.
27%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Alabama
30%
Oklahoma
70%
Oklahoma 90% CI: 61% – 77% Δ rating 3.5

Oklahoma is the model's favorite at 70%. Alabama has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.1 rating points baked in for Oklahoma — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, December 19, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

← Home