2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
Wake Forest at Mississippi State
Friday, January 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Bank of America Stadium
43
Wake Forest
Final
29
Mississippi State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | 15 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 43 |
| Mississippi State | 6 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
GIE pre-game call: Wake Forest at 55%. Hit.
Recaps
Wake Forest
ACC
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 5.7
- National rank
- 52
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 5-8
- Rating
- 4.1
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Wake Forest
55%
Mississippi State
45%
Mississippi State 90% CI: 36% – 54% Δ rating 1.6
Wake Forest is the model's favorite at 55%. Mississippi State has a 45% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, January 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Bank of America Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes