2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
Rice at Texas State
Friday, January 2, 2026 · 12:00 PM CST
Amon G. Carter Stadium
10
Rice
Final
41
Texas State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rice | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| Texas State | 0 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 41 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 89%. Hit.
Recaps
Rice
American Athletic
- Record
- 5-8
- Rating
- -14.8
- National rank
- 120
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 2.3
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Rice
11%
Texas State
89%
Texas State 90% CI: 85% – 93% Δ rating 17.1
Texas State is the model's favorite at 89%. Rice has a 11% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, January 2, 2026 · 12:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Amon G. Carter Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes