2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
Michigan at Texas
Wednesday, December 31, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Camping World Stadium
27
Michigan
Final
41
Texas
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| Texas | 3 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 41 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas at 62%. Hit.
Recaps
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Texas
SEC
- Record
- 10-3
- Rating
- 16.2
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 15%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan
38%
Texas
62%
Texas 90% CI: 52% – 70% Δ rating 3.8
Texas is the model's favorite at 62%. Michigan has a 38% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, December 31, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Camping World Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes