2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
Arizona State at Duke
Wednesday, December 31, 2025 · 1:00 PM CST
Sun Bowl
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State | 14 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 39 |
| Duke | 14 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 42 |
GIE pre-game call: Duke at 58%. Hit.
Recaps
- Duke recap
Duke: 2025 Week 16 recap
Duke sits at 44th overall after a 27-20 road win at Virginia in Week 15, improving to 9-5 on the season. The victory keeps the Blue Devils in solid position with a 6.6 rating per GIE, though the ACC's compressed late-season schedule means…
- Arizona State recap
Arizona State: 2025 Week 16 recap
Arizona State sits at No. 60 overall with a 3.9 rating and an 8–5 record heading into Week 16. The Sun Devils took a 23–7 loss at home to Arizona in Week 14, a result that underscores the competitive gap between the two programs right…
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 3.9
- National rank
- 60
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
- Record
- 9-5
- Rating
- 6.6
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Duke is the model's favorite at 58%. Arizona State has a 42% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, December 31, 2025 · 1:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Sun Bowl
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes